Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 0.000179 0.000199 0.000220 0.000244 0.000272 0.000302 0.000338
2025-03-02 0.000141 0.000169 0.000202 0.000244 0.000295 0.000357 0.000437
2025-03-09 0.000118 0.000150 0.000189 0.000243 0.000313 0.000404 0.000533
2025-03-16 0.000099 0.000131 0.000173 0.000232 0.000316 0.000430 0.000601
2025-03-23 0.000089 0.000122 0.000167 0.000233 0.000332 0.000475 0.000701
2025-03-30 0.000083 0.000117 0.000166 0.000242 0.000359 0.000536 0.000834
2025-04-06 0.000074 0.000108 0.000157 0.000237 0.000364 0.000565 0.000919
2025-04-13 0.000065 0.000097 0.000145 0.000225 0.000356 0.000573 0.000970
2025-04-20 0.000060 0.000092 0.000142 0.000226 0.000370 0.000616 0.001086
2025-04-27 0.000057 0.000090 0.000141 0.000231 0.000391 0.000673 0.001239
2025-05-04 0.000053 0.000085 0.000136 0.000229 0.000398 0.000708 0.001354
2025-05-11 0.000050 0.000082 0.000134 0.000230 0.000412 0.000756 0.001501
2025-05-18 0.000047 0.000077 0.000129 0.000228 0.000419 0.000794 0.001638
2025-05-25 0.000044 0.000074 0.000126 0.000229 0.000433 0.000847 0.001821
2025-06-01 0.000041 0.000070 0.000123 0.000228 0.000443 0.000895 0.002001
2025-06-08 0.000037 0.000065 0.000116 0.000218 0.000435 0.000902 0.002085
2025-06-15 0.000035 0.000063 0.000114 0.000219 0.000449 0.000960 0.002306
2025-06-22 0.000034 0.000062 0.000115 0.000227 0.000478 0.001057 0.002650
2025-06-29 0.000032 0.000059 0.000110 0.000222 0.000478 0.001085 0.002816
2025-07-06 0.000029 0.000054 0.000103 0.000211 0.000463 0.001074 0.002868
2025-07-13 0.000028 0.000053 0.000102 0.000212 0.000476 0.001136 0.003145
2025-07-20 0.000027 0.000052 0.000102 0.000217 0.000500 0.001228 0.003537
2025-07-27 0.000026 0.000050 0.000099 0.000215 0.000506 0.001276 0.003801